Western intelligence experts assume that the real goal of the Kremlin is to mobilize a million people, but according to forecasts, they will not be able to recruit even the planned 300 thousand.
Western officials believe that Russia will face “serious problems” in mobilization. The country’s army will have a hard time training and equipping new recruits unless the Kremlin waits a few months before sending them to the front lines in Ukraine.
About this writes The Guardian.
It is noted that intelligence experts have admitted that the real target of recruitment may be higher than 300,000 people. Yes, some reports suggest that the Kremlin’s real goal is to mobilize 1 million.
One official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that the Russian authorities would face great difficulties even with the recruitment of 300,000 troops.
“We believe that it will be very difficult for them to train, not to mention to quickly equip such a large force. The conscripts will probably be issued with old things and unreliable equipment,” the official said.
Western officials believe there was a clear regional bias in the recruitment of Russians, focusing on poorer and minority areas in the country’s east and avoiding the country’s middle-class urban centers. Yes, they do not see recruitment in St. Petersburg or Moscow.
“Currently, we do not see recruitment of teams in St. Petersburg or Moscow,” he said.
We will remind that in Russia military commissars are burning en masse and local administrations after the announcement of mobilization.