The society is actively discussing a possible attack by Belarus, and on June 16 it became known that President Volodymyr Zelensky had instructed to check the combat readiness of four regions before the possible opening of a new front.
However, currently direct factors of preparation before the invasion of Belarus the monitoring group “Belarusian Guyun” does not observe.
About this he writes “Belarusian Guyun”.
Observers write that the socio-political situation in Belarus is already quite tense, the last dissatisfaction of the population with the actions of Lukashenko (and his security forces) after the rigged elections in 2020 has not disappeared, and this was compounded by rising prices, rising unemployment and, of course, invasion RF Armed Forces to Ukraine from the territory of Belarus.
In addition, it is noted that Lukashenko’s army does not have modern weapons to wage any offensive war. Even defense with that small amount of equipment in the border areas will still be a challenge for them.
“The advantages of the Armed Forces over the Armed Forces of Belarus were actually acknowledged even by Lukashenko, who repeatedly spoke about the meat grinder when entering the battle (although his words cannot be believed). Belarus, but training is one thing, and real combat experience is quite another, and they have never had the latter, “the statement said.
However, according to experts, the Belarusian army has some success in piloting skills, for example, they are now learning to take off quickly.
“At the same time, we do not rule out a scenario of an attack, but it still seems unlikely. Basically, even if we assume that they have learned something, but they simply do not have enough technology. There are probably problems with the number of weapons, “the statement said.
Experts are currently seeing an increase in the number of fortifications along the border with Ukraine.
We will remind, readiness to invade Belarus will be tested in four oblasts.